EVENT DETAILS

Bayes' Theorem and Historical Reasoning: How Historical Methods Can Be Improved and Why They Need to Be

Drawing from his new book Proving History: Bayes's Theorem and the Quest for the Historical Jesus (Prometheus, 2012), Dr. Richard Carrier will explain what Bayes' Theorem is (in terms anyone in the humanities can understand), how it underlies all valid historical methods even when we don't realize it, and why knowing this can improve historical reasoning and argument in all fields of history.

Lecture cosponsored by the UCI Classics Department and the IDP in the History and Philosophy of Science.

Open to the public

Parking available in Mesa Parking Structure
(http://www.arts.uci.edu/sites/default/files/parking%20map.jpg)